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What the AOL/Netscape deal
means to you ?
With Netscape in America Online's back pocket
and Sun Microsystems along for the ride, the world's largest online
service will be quite a different beast.
By acquiring Netscape, AOL not only becomes
one of the biggest brand names on the Web, it also becomes one of
the richest property owners. Its new market strength threatens Microsoft
and transforms AOL into the tech sector's newest 800-pound gorilla.
For Microsoft, it's clear that the Netscape
deal means one thing: competition. What's not so clear is what an
AOL, Netscape, and Sun trio will mean for average Web surfers.
When AOL gobbles up Netscape's Netcenter, it
will have unprecedented ownership of Web access points, known as
portals. With AOL.com and Netcenter, AOL will own two of the four
most popular sites on the Web.
Add AOL's 14 million users to Netcenter's 20
million visitors a month, and 58 percent of surfers will visit an
AOL-owned site monthly, according to market researchers International
Data Corporation. This will put AOL way ahead of the Web's current
portal powerhouse Yahoo.
By controlling Netcenter, AOL will expand beyond
its base of home users and reach Netcenter's mostly business users.
If you thought AOL's trial membership CDs were
obnoxiously ubiquitous, prepare yourself for AOL everywhere.
With its new marketing might, not only will
AOL court Netcenter users with AOL services, but the browser itself
could represent new ad space.
AOL could easily integrate commerce and content
features into future versions of the Netscape browser, said Melissa
Bane, Internet expert at the Yankee Group.
The Netscape browser will stay much the same,
said Netscape President and CEO James Barksdale, who will sit on
AOL's board if the deal passes regulatory muster.
AOL as technology
leader
AOL's image as technologically behind the times
will come to an end. Along with the Netscape browser, AOL will now
have a cadre of top-notch programmers at its disposal. These Netscape
programmers, who helped develop many cutting-edge technologies,
will likely give AOL a technical boost.
Part of AOL's purchase of Netscape will include
acquiring the technology controlling thousands of Web sites on the
Internet: Netscape is a major developer of the server software that
processes electronic-commerce transactions on Web sites.
Once AOL controls this software, its technology
will become ubiquitous. AOL technology will be fused into vast numbers
of online shops, online ads, and electronic cash registers.
In the battle for Web access through TVs, AOL
boosts its clout substantially with the ownership of Netscape and
a partnership with Sun Microsystems.AOL has talked about launching
an AOL TV product similar to Microsoft's WebTV.
But AOL technology will likely go beyond TVs.
In today's announcement of the deal, Sun CEO Scott McNealy said
that part of his company's pact with AOL is the development of a
host of new Internet devices.
The browser
Despite assertions by AOL that it plans to
keep Microsoft's Internet Explorer as the default browser for its
flagship AOL network, analysts believe AOL will soon replace it
with Netscape's Navigator.
AOL's announcement Tuesday that it will keep
the Microsoft browser is strategic posturing to keep antitrust lawyers
pounding away at Microsoft, said Jill Frankle, an analyst with International
Data Corporation.
If Navigator does replace Internet Explorer
on the AOL service, Netscape's browser will regain the throne as
the most popular tool for cruising the Web.
AOL could be tempted to use the Netscape browser
as a tool to coax its 14 million members to become more familiar
with the Web, and go beyond AOL's proprietary network. Earlier this
year, AOL began letting members check and read e-mail through its
Web site, without having to log on to AOL.
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