JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 26

On Palestinian Attitudes Towards Politics

May 1998


Introduction

The results of JMCC’s opinion poll May 21-22, 1998, indicate to decrease in support for the peace process and for the Palestinian Authority in general, despite the fact that those supporting the peace process and the PA are more than those opposing them. The main results can be summarized as follows, in comparison with the previous poll with the same questions:


Methodology

A random sample of 1,208 Palestinians, over the age of 18 years, were interviewed throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip on 21 and 22 May 1998. The interviews were conducted on randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 60 sampling points chosen randomly according to population.

In the West Bank, 775 people were surveyed from the following areas: Jenin: Jenin & Jenin Refugee Camp (RC), al-Yamoun, 'Arabeh & Kufr Rai, Zababdeh & 'Aqabeh & Ya'bad. Nablus: Nablus & Balata RC, Beit Fureek & Salfit, Frkha, Burqa, Huwara, Bureen. Tulkarem: Tulkarem & Tulkarem RC, 'Azzoun, Illar, 'Anabta. Qalqilia: Qalqilia. Bethlehem: Bethlehem, Beit Jala, Beit Sahour, Dheisheh RC, Nahalen, Al-Khader. Hebron: Hebron, Dura, Fawar RC, Halhoul, Dhaharia, Yatta, Tarqoumia. Jerusalem: Old City, al-Ram, Dhayat al-Bareed, Beit Hanina, Al-'Izzaria, Abu Dees. Jericho: Jericho. Ramallah: Ramallah, al-Bireh, al-'Amari RC, al-Tayebh, Kobar, Ni'lin.

In the Gaza Strip, 433 people were surveyed from: al-Sabra, Shujaia (Daraj & Tufah), Zeitoon, Rimal, Nasser, Sheikh Radwn, Shati RC, Jabalia, Jabalia RC, Beit Hanoun, Beit Lahia, Deir al-Balah RC, Nusseirat, Bureji, Rafah, Rafah RC, Yubna, Khan Younis, Khan Younis RC, Bani Suheila, 'Abassan.


Sample Distribution


Occupation respondents

  • Students 14.5%
  • Waged labourers 12.6%
  • Housewives 34.4%
  • Employees eg. secretaries/teachers/nurses/municipal employees 16.7%
  • Businessmen/private business 7.2%
  • Farmers/fishermen 2.0%
  • Craftsmen 1.3%
  • Professionals - eg. doctors/lawyers/pharmacists/engineers 1.8%
  • Unemployed 5.7%
  • Retired 1.5%
  • No answer 2.3%

  • Results

    Q.1 How optimistic or pessimistic are you towards the future in general? Can you say you are very optimistic, optimistic pessimistic or very pessimistic?

    Total

    West Bank

    Gaza Strip

    Very optimistic

    6.6%

    5.4%

    8.8%

    Optimistic

    59.0%

    59.9%

    57.5%

    Pessimistic

    23.2%

    23.1%

    23.3%

    Very pessimistic

    10.3%

    11.0%

    9.2%

    No answer

    0.9%

    0.6%

    1.2%

    Q.2 In general, how do you feel about the Palestinian - Israeli peace process? Would you say that you strongly support, somewhat support, neither support or oppose, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the Palestinian - Israeli peace process?

    Total

    West Bank

    Gaza Strip
    Strongly support

    16.1%

    11.4%

    24.5%

    Somewhat support

    47.6%

    51.7%

    40.2%

    Neither support not oppose

    13.8%

    14.5%

    12.7%

    Somewhat oppose

    9.6%

    9.4%

    9.9%

    Strongly oppose

    11.8%

    12.0%

    11.5%

    No answer

    1.1%

    1.0%

    1.2%

    Q.3 Which Palestinian political or religious faction do you trust most?

    Total

    West Bank

    Gaza Strip

    Fatah

    32.9%

    30.7%

    36.7%

    Hamas

    13.3%

    11.4%

    16.9%

    PFLP

    2.8%

    3.2%

    2.1%

    Islamic Jihad

    0.8%

    0.5%

    1.4%

    PPP

    1.2%

    1.7%

    0.2%

    Other Islamic Faction

    3.9%

    4.9%

    2.1%

    Other Factions

    2.9%

    3.9%

    1.3%

    Do not trust anyone

    29.11%

    30.3%

    27.2%

    No answer

    13.1%

    13.4%

    12.1%

    Q. 4 Which Palestinian personality do you trust most?

    Total

    West Bank

    Gaza Strip

    Yasser Arafat

    38.7%

    34.5%

    46.4%

    Ahmad Yaseen

    8.4%

    7.6%

    9.7%

    Haidar Abdul Shafi

    3.4%

    3.2%

    3.7%

    Hanan Ashrawi

    2.4%

    3.0%

    1.4%

    George Habash

    1.8%

    1.7%

    2.1%

    Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen)

    1.1%

    0.6%

    1.8%

    Faisal Husseini

    0.9%

    0.6%

    1.4%

    Saeb Erekat

    0.9%

    0.6%

    1.4%

    Other Personalities

    6.7%

    6.5%

    6.9%

    Do not trust anyone

    24.8%

    29.9%

    15.7%

    No answer

    10.9%

    11.8%

    9.5%

    Q.5 What do you think abou the Oslo agreement? Would you say that you strongly support, support, oppose, or strongly oppose it?

    Total

    West Bank

    Gaza Strip

    Strongly support

    8.9%

    5.8%

    14.5%

    Somewhat support

    55.6%

    59.1%

    49.4%

    Somewhat oppose

    14.9%

    13.7%

    17.1%

    Strongly oppose

    13.6%

    14.2%

    12.5%

    No answer

    7.0%

    7.2%

    6.5%

    Q.6 In general, how do you evaluate the Palestinian Authority's performance? Do you say its performane is very good, good, bad or very bad?

    Total

    West Bank

    Gaza Strip

    Very good

    9.1%

    7.0%

    12.9%

    Good

    55.5%

    56.5%

    53.8%

    Bad

    21.6%

    21.3%

    22.2%

    Very bad

    10.2%

    11.4%

    8.1%

    No answer

    3.6%

    3.8%

    3.0%

    Q. 7 In general, how do you evaluate the Palestinian Legislative Council's performance? Do you say it is very good performance, goo, bad or very bad?

    Total

    West Bank

    Gaza Strip

    Very good

    5.8%

    5.3%

    6.7%

    Good

    46.4%

    45.4%

    48.3%

    Bad

    25.6%

    26.5%

    24.0%

    Very bad

    14.1%

    13.8%

    14.5%

    No answer

    8.1%

    9.0%

    6.5%


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