JMCC Public Opinion Poll No. 11

On Palestinian Elections

December 1995

in cooperation with

Jerusalem Center for Women


Introduction


Methodology

A random sample of 1,250 Palestinians, over the age of 18 years, were interviewed throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip on 8 and 9 December 1995. The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 63 sampling points chosen randomly according to population.

In the West Bank,855 people were surveyed from the following areas: Bethlehem: Bethlehem, Beit Jala, Beit Sahour, Al-'Ibeidieh, and Za'atara; Hebron: Hebron, Beit Ummar, Halhoul, Sa'ir, Shyoukh; Jerusalem: Jerusalem, al-'Izaria, Hizma, Shu'fat, Anata. Jenin, Jenin, Jenin RC, 'Aqba, 'Araba, Maythaloun, Sanur. Nablus Area: Nablus, Askar RC, Beita, Deir Sharaf, Sarra. Ramallah area: Ramallah, Al-Bireh, Deir Dibwan, Shouqba, Sinjil. Tulkarem and Qalqilia area: Tulkarem, Qalqilia, Beit Lied, Bidia, Jamain, Salfit. Jericho area: Jericho.

In the Gaza Strip, 395 people were surveyed from: Gaza city, Deir al-Balah, Deir al-Balah RC, Nusseirat RC, Rafah, Jabalya, Jabalya a-Nazala, Jabalya RC, Khan Younis, Khan Youns RC, Nusseriat RC, Rafah, Shati RC, Burij RC, Maghazi RC, and 'Abasan.

The major of error is 3%, with a confidence level of 95%.


Sample Distribution


Results

Q.1 In general, what is the extent of your optimism towards the Palestinian future. Would you say you are very optimistic, somewhat optimistic, optimistic, or very pessimistic?

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Very optimistic

45.0%

44.7%

45.8%

Somewhat optimistic

36.2%

36.3%

35.2%

Pessimistic

12.2%

12.4%

11.6%

Very pessimistic

4.4%

4.0%

5.3%

No opinion

2.2%

2.3%

2.1%

Q.2 To what extent can you say you are for or against the Taba (Oslo 2) agreement between the Palestinian Authority and Israel

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip
Strongly support

39.8%

39.4%

40.5%

Somewhat support

27.3%

28.4%

24.8%

Absolutely do not support

14.5%

13.3%

17.0%

Have not read the agreement

13.7%

13.0%

15.2%

No opinion

4.7%

5.9%

2.5%

Q.3 In general, would you say that you support or oppose the peace process?

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Support the peace process

77.9%

76.6%

80.8%

Oppose the peace process

16.1%

16.1%

15.9%

No opinion

6.0%

7.3%

3.3%

Q.4 Do you believe that women will have an equal opportunity in running for the elections?

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes they will

55.6%

56.0%

54.7%

No they will not

31.8%

32.3%

30.6%

No opinion

12.6%

11.7%

14.7%

Q.5 Do you think it is important to incorporate personal status laws (including those pertaining to divocre, inheritance and marriage) into the Palestinian constitution?

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

52.4%

53.9%

49.4%

No (Go to question #9-1)

29.5%

29.9%

28.6%

No opinion

18.1%

16.2%

22.0%

Q. 5-1 If the answer ot the previous question is no, then why not?

This question was asked only to those who said that personal status laws should not be incorporated in the Palestinian Constitution. n=399

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Shari'a Law is sufficient to govern these matters

81.7%

83.7%

77.2%

Such laws are not important enough to be included in the constitution

8.3%

6.9%

11.4%

Other reasons

3.0%

2.5%

4.1%

No opinion

7.0%

6.9%

7.3%

Please indicate whether you strongly support, somewhat support or strongly oppose the following statements (Q.10 - Q.14).

Q.6 Women deserve a quota in the elected council.

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Strongly agree

60.1%

59.9%

60.5%

Agree somewhat

17.1%

17.8%

15.7%

Strongly disagree

15.2%

15.4%

14.7%

No opinion

7.6%

6.9%

9.1%

Q.7 Christians deserve a quota in the elected council.

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Strongly agree

48.2%

50.9%

42.5%

Agree somewhat

21.4%

21.9%

20.3%

Strongly disagree

19.2%

18.1%

21.5%

No opinion

11.2%

9.1%

15.7%

Q.8 Palestinian women's organizations provide women with useful information in a timely manner.

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Strongly agree

27.7%

28.9%

25.3%

Agree somewhat

20.6%

20.8%

20.3%

Strongly disagree

13.0%

13.8%

11.1%

No opinion

38.7%

36.5%

43.3%

Q.9 I believe I have a civic responsibility to take part in the elections.

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Strongly agree

72.7%

73.3%

71.4%

Agree somewhat

9.0%

8.8%

9.6%

Strongly disagree

7.5%

8.0%

6.6%

No opinion

10.8%

9.9%

12.4%

Q.10 If a woman candidate met my standards of proper qualifications, I would vote for her.

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Strongly agree

67.4%

68.3%

65.3%

Agree somewhat

12.2%

12.5%

11.6%

Strongly disagree

13.2%

12.7%

14.2%

No opinion

7.2%

6.5%

8.9%

Q.11 Do you support or oppose the need for qualified women to be entitled for equal opportunities to participate actively in public responsibilities in society?

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Support

75.4%

75.4%

75.2%

Oppose (go to question #15-1)

17.3%

16.7%

18.5%

No opinion

7.3%

7.9%

6.3%

Q.11-1 If you disagree, then why?

This question is asked only to those who said disagree in Q.15

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

I believe women should only take care of family and homes

25.6%

23.7%

29.6%

Because of religion

17.4%

20.3%

11.3%

Women should not have social contact with outside of their immediate family

6.4%

6.8%

5.6%

Women are not as capable as men to handle those kinds of tasks

42.5%

42.6%

42.3%

Other reasons

3.7%

2.0%

7.0%

No opinion

4.4%

4.6%

4.2%

Q.12 Do you intend to vote in the upcoming elections?

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

78.1%

78.8%

76.5%

No (go to question # 16-1)

12.2%

11.6%

13.4%

I have not decided yet

7.4%

6.8%

8.6%

No opinion

2.3%

2.8%

1.5%

Q.12-1 If you do not intend to vote, the reason is:

This question was asked to those who said that they will not vote in the elections. n=193

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

I don't have proper ID

5.7%

5.2%

5.0%

I plan to boycott the elections because of ideological reasons

13.0%

12.7%

14.0%

I don't believe in the peace process

33.7%

32.9%

36.0%

I don't believe in democracy

4.2%

3.0%

7.0%

I didn't register to vote

5.2%

7.5%

7.0%

I won't vote untill all the prisoners are released

4.7%

3.7%

2.0%

(Women only) My husband, brother, father won't allow me

16.1%

19.4%

8.0%

Others

11.4%

9.7%

15.0%

No opinion

6.0%

5.9%

6.0%

Q.13 In your opinion, the most important criterion for a candidate is:

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Family loyalty

3.0%

3.4%

2.3%

Religious affiliation

17.5%

17.8%

17.0%

Political affiliation

19.9%

20.0%

19.7%

Personal qualifications of candidate

45.0%

43.4%

48.6%

Others

7.6%

7.8%

6.8%

No opinion

7.0%

7.6%

5.6%

Q.14 Do you believe your vote will make a difference in the final outcome of the elections?

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

73.6%

76.0%

68.4%

No

14.7%

13.2%

18.0%

No opinion

11.7%

10.8%

13.6%


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